The Weekly Insight

A Recession is Coming (Eventually)

April 04, 2022 Andrew Dorr
The Weekly Insight
A Recession is Coming (Eventually)
Show Notes

Every week it seems there’s something new the “financial gurus” on TV are fretting about. Last week, it was the “inverted yield curve” and the near certainty it means a looming recession? But does it? Is a recession really coming?

Simply put, yes. A recession is coming. But that’s because a recession is ALWAYS coming! Over the last seventy years, we’ve had a recession, on average, every 6.4 years. They are a natural part of the economic cycle. But is the yield curve a good predictor? That depends. There are a LOT of yield curves. And which one you cherry pick can either be tremendously predictive or not at all.

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